MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0664 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Mon May 06 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...Northeast OK into southeast KS and extreme southwest MO CONCERNING...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely VALID 070100Z - 070230Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent SUMMARY...The tornado threat will increase through the evening. Local extension of WW 189 may be needed, with Tornado Watch issuance eventually expected downstream. DISCUSSION...Convective showers are beginning to increase from central/northeast OK into southeast KS, ahead of the primary corridor of supercells to the southwest. With a continued increase of the low-level jet ....... more |
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0736 PM CDT Mon May 06 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...Northwest and west-central Missouri CONCERNING...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely VALID 070036Z - 070230Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent SUMMARY...A tornado watch will likely be needed this evening as storms move into western portions of Missouri. QLCS TORNADOES and DAMAGING WINDS are the expected primary hazards. DISCUSSION...A linear segment east of Concordia, KS will continue northeast this evening. This activity may reach northwest Missouri between 8:30-9 PM CDT based on current projections. As upper-level forcing continues to ....... more |