![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0631 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...OH...western PA...eastern KY...northern WV CONCERNING...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely VALID 011612Z - 011815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent SUMMARY...Lower-topped convection along a confluence axis should intensify through the afternoon, increasing the risk for scattered DAMAGING WINDS and isolated, marginally SEVERE HAIL. With moderate uncertainty on timing and spatial extent, a severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed, centered on the Upper Ohio Valley. DISCUSSION...Convection has gradually increased along a ....... more |