Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA
Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0139 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0308 PM CST Thu Mar 05 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Davis Mountains into the Permian Basin CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 052108Z - 052315Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Large hail (up to 2 in.) and SEVERE WIND GUSTS are possible with isolated severe storms into the early evening. Lack of greater forcing/storm coverage should preclude a watch this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Convection continues to develop within the Davis Mountains this afternoon as dryline slowly mixes eastward. Overall forcing for ascent within the Permian Basin region is weak and expected to ....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0138 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CST Thu Mar 05 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of the TX Panhandle and South Plains into southwestern OK CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely VALID 052047Z - 052315Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent SUMMARY...The risk of supercells capable of all hazards will increase between 22-00Z, and continue into tonight. A watch will likely be needed for parts of the area within the next couple hours. DISCUSSION...The latest visible satellite imagery depicts gradually deepening boundary-layer cumulus developing over parts of the TX South Plains -- where steepening low-level lapse rates ....... more