![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1200 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Central Minnesota into west-central Wisconsin CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 191827Z - 192100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent SUMMARY...The potential for severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and DAMAGING WIND GUSTS is expected to increase this afternoon. Convective trends are being monitored for a possible Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Despite boundary-layer dewpoints only in the mid 50s to around 60, the combination of daytime heating and cooling mid-level temperatures are contributing to air ....... more |
![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1199 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Northern Florida and extreme southeast Georgia CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 191736Z - 191900Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent SUMMARY...A localized corridor of damaging wind potential is emerging across northern Florida and far southeast Georgia. Watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Over the past 30 minutes, a cluster of thunderstorms east of the KTLH radar has developed a consolidated cold pool per regional velocity imagery. This is likely the result of rapid updraft collapse based on latest KDP trends; ....... more |
![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1198 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1235 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Red River Valley of eastern North Dakota and northwest Minnesota CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 191735Z - 191930Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...The potential for isolated occurrences of marginally SEVERE HAIL and perhaps a BRIEF TORNADO is forecast to increase early this afternoon. Expected severe-weather coverage and intensity currently appear too limited to warrant a watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Recent trends in visible satellite and mosaic radar data indicate a gradual increase in storm coverage within a ....... more |