![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1523 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CDT Mon Jul 06 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Much of northern/central Virginia into north-central North Carolina CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 061827Z - 062100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...The area is being monitored for an increase in thunderstorm development this afternoon. The stronger storms will be capable of producing DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. It is unclear if a watch will be needed, especially in the near term. DISCUSSION...The latest radar data shows a gradual increase in thunderstorm development over the higher terrain of western VA , with more ....... more |
![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1522 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0111 PM CDT Mon Jul 06 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Eastern North Dakota...northwest Minnesota...northeast South Dakota CONCERNING...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely VALID 061811Z - 062015Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent SUMMARY...Large hail and severe winds are possible with initial supercells that will eventually grow upscale into a more organized cluster/MCS. A watch is likely this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A slow moving cold front continues southeastward within the northern Plains. Though influence from the shortwave trough in Canada is minimal, areas of strong heating ....... more |