![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1510 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CDT Sun Jul 05 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...eastern South Carolina into central North Carolina and far south-central Virginia CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 051753Z - 052100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Sporadic severe gusts are possible through this afternoon across the central Carolinas into southern Virginia. DISCUSSION...Storms formed quickly near the SC sea breeze, and where a very moist and unstable air mass was already in place this morning per 12Z CHS sounding. MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg also extends northward across much of NC, where ....... more |
![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1509 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1224 PM CDT Sun Jul 05 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...northeast Ohio...into western Pennsylvania CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 051724Z - 052030Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Storms may increase in coverage this afternoon, with isolated SEVERE WIND GUSTS or even a brief/weak tornado. DISCUSSION...An MCV/cluster of thunderstorms continues to move eastward across northern OH and into northwest PA/western NY, which is also along the instability gradient. Wind fields are generally weak, but may be locally enhanced near this feature. The 12Z BUF sounding shows a ....... more |