![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1846 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CDT Thu Aug 06 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Eastern KS into far northeast OK CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 070439Z - 070645Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Storms will increase in coverage overnight, with at least an isolated severe threat. DISCUSSION...Elevated convection has begun to develop in the vicinity of a low/midlevel cloud deck across eastern KS. Forecast soundings from short-term guidance suggest the developing convection is rooted around 700 mb, with steep midlevel lapse rates supporting MUCAPE of greater than 1500 J/kg. An increase in ....... more |