Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1773
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0616 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of the Mid-Atlantic

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 272316Z - 280115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent

SUMMARY
...A threat for locally damaging wind may continue through
dusk.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered strong storms are ongoing early this
evening from parts of MD northward to near/north of NYC. Despite
relatively moderate surface temperatures, seasonably cool conditions
aloft associated with a mid/upper trough over the region are
supporting moderate buoyancy, with MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg across
the region.
....... more


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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1772
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of southeast AZ

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 272224Z - 280100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent

SUMMARY
...Strong to locally severe storms will be possible through
the afternoon into the early evening.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed this afternoon
over the Mogollon Rim, and also across far southeast AZ. In the
short term, steep low-level lapse rates and moderate buoyancy will
support potential for localized downburst winds, and small to
near-SEVERE HAIL. Modest midlevel easterlies atop
....... more