Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1951
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1210 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...portions of western New York into the Northern Tier
of Pennsylvania

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 121710Z - 121915Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent

SUMMARY
...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will pose an
isolated risk for large hail and DAMAGING WIND GUSTS this afternoon
from the Niagra Frontier into the Northern Tier of PA.

DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing
across southern Ontario and portions of the Niagra Frontier as of
1710 UTC, with this activity forecast to develop
....... more


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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1950
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1132 AM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...southern Georgia into northeast Florida

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 121632Z - 121900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent

SUMMARY
...The potential for a few DAMAGING WIND GUSTS is expected to
increase this afternoon. A watch is not anticipated due to the
limited areal coverage of the threat.

DISCUSSION...Forcing for ascent within the southwest flank of an MCV
moving through the lower Savannah River Valley will combine with
broadly confluent low-level flow to yield scattered thunderstorms
this afternoon. Area VWPs indicate
....... more