MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0650 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Mon May 06 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of the Tennessee River Valley/southern Appalachians CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 061741Z - 061945Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected along a residual outflow boundary and in the vicinity of an MCV across portions of the Tennessee River Valley. A couple of STRONG TO SEVERE storms are possible with an attendant risk of large hail and DAMAGING GUSTS. DISCUSSION...17 UTC surface observations and visible imagery show gradual cumulus development and a few initial weak ....... more |